Duke vs Florida State 10/27/2012

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Florida State is a heavy favorite winning 94% of simulations over Duke. EJ Manuel is averaging 274 passing yards and 2.5 TDs per simulation and Chris Thompson is projected for 100 rushing yards and a 74% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 6% of simulations where Duke wins, Sean Renfree averages 1.92 TD passes vs 0.84 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.8 TDs to 1.16 interceptions. Jela Duncan averages 43 rushing yards and 0.33 rushing TDs when Duke wins and 36 yards and 0.16 TDs in losses. Florida State has a 50% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 97% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is FLAST -26
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